Decision Skills
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    • Tactical Decision Games
  • Articles

Tactical Decision Games: An NDM APPROACH

2/23/2022

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Mastering Tactics Workbook by John Schmitt
For over 20-years a monthly tactical decision game (TDG) was published in the Marine Corps Gazette. These games allowed readers to play along by submitting their solution. In the next issue a discussion was published, presenting the back and forth dialogue that took place as players explained their rational and why they decided to take a particular action. 

From the military, the value of TDG’s has branched out into other fields of expertise. As a form of ‘problem-based learning’, a TDG can be used in sports, business, aviation, the 1st responder community, or any profession that routinely needs to make high stakes decisions under time pressure. 

In this article, the basics of creating and playing a TDG are presented. In addition, the article suggests two ways to improve a TDG by incorporating elements of Naturalistic Decision Making (NDM). Last, you can learn more about TDG's by downloading a free copy of “Mastering Tactics - A Tactical Decisions Game Workbook”, by Maj John F. Schmitt, USMCR.


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The Mindset formula

1/19/2022

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Whenever you struggle to achieve a particular outcome, especially in cases where you seem to repeat the same errors over and over, it might be worth your time to consider the 'Mindset Formula'. This looks at how the mindsets we adopt can influence how we frame a situation. This framing impacts our motivations and the goals we set, influencing the decisions we make and ultimately determines what we are able to achieve. ​

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Mindless Eating

12/17/2021

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Over the holidays it is common to be invited to gatherings or events where more food than normal is available. It is also common for us to believe that we are capable decision makers, able to determine how much we will eat and when we are full. But, is it true? And what, if anything, can be done to improve the decisions you make?

In discussing these questions, I want to:
  1. Share findings of a short research article on over eating.
  2. Discuss a few tactics that can help address the issue. 
  3. Discuss the broader implications.

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Seven Ways to Harness the Power of Regret

12/28/2020

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“Many people say they “regret nothing” or they “wouldn't do anything differently” if they could live over again. Although such statements are offered with sincerity, they can be difficult to accept at face value. Living a life with no mistakes and without any regrets is extraordinarily hard to accomplish. A lifetime of making choices brings with it the knowledge that at least some actions were ill-considered, some failures to act unwise. For most of us, it also brings with it the realization that some of these unfortunate outcomes could have been avoided. To live, it seems, is to accumulate at least some regrets.” - Thomas Gilovich and Victoria Husted Medvec (1995)
In this article I am going to discuss the science of regret. Specifically, I want to focus on regret as a cognitive skill that you can develop, as a tool that you can use to improve decision-making by regulating the intensity.

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Competitive Decision-Making: Using the OODA Loop

2/14/2019

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A 14 to 1 kill ratio. This was the number of Russian MIG’s estimated to have been shot down for every one American F-86 Sabre during the Korean War. While this estimate fluctuated, it was still this disparity that caught the eye of officer John Boyd, a fighter pilot in the United States Air Force (USAF). Boyd wanted to answer the question, “What makes the difference between winning and losing in competitive, high stakes environments?”​

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Reducing Error: How to Deal with the Dunning-Kruger Effect

9/20/2018

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Dunning Kruger Effect
How good are you at dancing or singing? Without any sort of objective measure, a common method to try and determine our ability is by using peer comparison. We watch those around us participating in similar activities and estimate our relative performance. The only problem, as discovered by research psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger, is that when we use peer comparison to judge our own performance we are most often wrong, and sometimes by a significant margin.

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How to Justify Your Decisions: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly

3/1/2018

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Have you ever had to justify a decision? Have you ever looked back at a decision and wondered what went wrong or how you might improve? Each of us, whether for legal, professional, or personal reasons, have at some point faced these questions. And while many times you might have been able to provide a clear answer, most certainly there were times when you were less than certain. This is where A.P.E. can help, a decision tool that uses a straightforward, three-step model of; assess, plan, and execute, to break down the decision process.

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The Decision to Disengage: When to Give Up on a Goal

2/1/2018

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In pursuit of our goals, one of the most painful decisions we can face, is the possibility of failure. And given that we are hardwired to avoid pain, it is not uncommon for us to adopt a philosophy that to quit, to surrender, or to otherwise disengage from a goal is “unthinkable,” or “not an option”. This same philosophy is reinforced in certain cultural beliefs, such as in the power of positive thinking, the law of attraction, or in the unquestioned wisdom of a popular celebrity. 

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Pre-Decisions: The Power and Pitfalls of “If/Then” Decision-Making

1/11/2018

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When struggling to achieve a particular goal, consider incorporating the use of pre-decisions to increase your chances of success. In over 94 studies the use of pre-decisions has shown to help get you started, keep you focused, conserve cognitive resources, and if for some reason you do become distracted, pre-decisions can help get you back on the right track.

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Goals, Memory, and Motivation

8/11/2017

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The power of memory is elusive. It is difficult to quantify, yet it is undeniable that memories are often times what we yearn to create. The goals you set are also almost always tied to creating memories, or at least they should be, as the power of memory can help you maintain your motivation.

​Salient vs. Gist Memory

Consider the difference of setting a goal to run the Boston Marathon verses the more general goal to lose ten pounds.

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    Authors


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    Richard Feenstra is an educational psychologist, with a focus on judgment and decision making.
    ​(read more) 


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    Bobby Hoffman is the author of "Hack Your Motivation" and a professor of educational psychology at the University of Central Florida.
    ​(read more)

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Decision Skills
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  • Home
  • Videos
    • The OODA Loop
    • The RPD Model
    • Reducing the Dunning-Kruger Effect
    • Using a Premortem
    • The Planning Fallacy
    • Accelerated Expertise
    • Conduct a SWOT Analysis
    • 4D's on a To-Do-List
    • Mere Exposure Effect
    • The Trolley Problem
    • Wicked Problems
    • Reciprocity Bias
    • Motivated Change
    • Correlation vs. Causation
    • Maslow's Hierarchy and Innovation
    • Understanding Psychological Anchors
    • IDEA 4-Step Problem Solving
    • Using SMART Goals
    • How to Gain Insights
    • The Eisenhower Matrix
    • SMART Goals - 60 Seconds
    • Tactical Decision Games
  • Articles